Grotesque-Commitment
0xd8a97c4f0f07fef668af1c54435d3bc7ceba8a2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
197
Open notional
$1.91
Total PnL
$-318.86
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
1380 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released by June 30?$1.15Feb 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$2.00Feb 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$2.94Feb 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".