0xd8ac15ec287dc3f3963405bbb9c3f76ab2498ee7
0xd8ac15ec287dc3f3963405bbb9c3f76ab2498ee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.42
Total PnL
$-32.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$16.67
$6.67
- NO
Will the next Pope be named Francis?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the next Pope be named Urban?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be from Asia?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US-China trade deal before June?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be named Francis?$10.00Apr 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be named Urban?$5.00Apr 26, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China trade deal before June?$10.00Apr 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Asia?$5.00Apr 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?$15.15Apr 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?$10.00Mar 31, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$15.00Mar 31, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$5.00Mar 31, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence at CPAC conference on Saturday?$0.00Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$6.49Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?$10.39Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$58.14Mar 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? $0.00Feb 22, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump comment on immigration debate today?$0.00Feb 22, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina dollarize in 2024?$0.00Feb 22, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$0.00Feb 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence at CPAC conference on Saturday?$10.00Feb 22, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?$8.00Feb 22, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".