Defensive-Maize
0xd8ae958eca7c4feadbd621aa1b2a2f5a48964600
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.38
Total PnL
$-18.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
79 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$-11.40
- NO
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$1.33
$0.33
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
17 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$22.01Jan 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$1.00Oct 7, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$1.00Oct 7, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? $2.00Oct 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $2.00Oct 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$7.15Oct 7, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$10.21Sep 23, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?$5.10Sep 15, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on September 13?$0.01Sep 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $2,400 on September 13?$0.12Sep 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on September 13?$8.00Sep 12, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on September 13?$1.00Sep 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?$5.00Sep 12, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$2.00Sep 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$5.00Sep 12, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?$4.10Sep 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?$4.10Sep 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$0.50Sep 12, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".