Bouncy-Spectacles
0xd8c15840c3988e99d99acc3da57f7b1d61180401
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
24781 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-21.6K
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-124.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
60 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-30.64
- NO
US-China trade deal before June?
40 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.1KNov 5, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.7KAug 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.4KJul 27, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$4.00Jul 27, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$58.20Jul 26, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$3.60Jul 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$3.18Jul 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$7.42Jul 26, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$16.50Jul 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$64.00Jul 16, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$1.2KJul 16, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$71.00Jul 12, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$49.40Jul 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$354.54Jul 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.2KJul 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$808.00Jul 2, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$552.02Jul 2, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$1.0KJul 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$411.66Jun 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.8KJun 22, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $266.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.