Bumpy-Owl
0xd8c4d45000b7976d897ab79c21780e46faaa848d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$25.5K
Total PnL
$731.86
Realised
$-166.56
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.3K
$5.3K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
8000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.4K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.2K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$750.00
$634.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
17105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$709.85
$668.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
3235 shares @ 0.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$372.01
$350.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$260.70
$200.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$225.00
$109.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$72.00
$-43.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$11.00Jun 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.18Jun 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.06Jun 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$249.83Jun 14, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.81Jun 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.24Jun 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2.40Jun 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$15.16Jun 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$25.27Jun 14, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.