Pale-League
0xd8cb4c2d6c9b0632cb3d4d21c324f588154ff6c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-355.76
Realised
$-121.46
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
458 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
32 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
8 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
7 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
5 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$6.24Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.79Jul 19, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2PM ET$1.04Jun 24, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET$1.06Jun 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.03Jun 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.04Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.38Jun 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.04Jun 17, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.49May 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.02May 22, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.02May 22, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.43May 21, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.02May 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.04May 18, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.13May 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.04May 18, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.08May 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.04May 18, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
69/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.