0xd8cb5704621e7eb3827e1ae2ef387cc48fbdbe6e
0xd8cb5704621e7eb3827e1ae2ef387cc48fbdbe6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.08
Total PnL
$-23.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.59
$0.09
- YES
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
370 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
37 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?$2.00Jan 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?$2.00Jan 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$2.50Jan 13, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".