Intent-Amount
0xd8cbbe713a5e95bd36d27ef0014b79d0971c5d9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.23
Realised
$-4.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?
178 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >45% on June 1?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$337.48Nov 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$307.11Nov 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$5.00Jul 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$2.00Jul 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$2.00Jul 3, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$522.78Jul 3, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$536.87Jul 3, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel before July?$56.18Jul 2, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?$57.17Jul 2, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?$312.18Jun 30, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$20.00Jun 30, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$15.18Jun 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$19.21Jun 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.00Jun 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump trade deal before July?$57.95Jun 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump trade deal before July?$4.99Jun 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out in 2025?$4.99Jun 27, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump trade deal before July?$61.93Jun 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?$40.00Jun 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$20.00Jun 27, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $70.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".