Organic-Octave
0xd8cc5f32ecbbcbc49f0d14f97476fcee31697b16
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$12.69
Total PnL
$-609.48
Realised
$-241.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.69
$2.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?
1533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?
577 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2PM ET
515 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
200 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-160.46
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
129 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-37.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?
129 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
115 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
55 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$8.31Mar 8, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$5.00Mar 7, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.14Mar 7, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.00Mar 7, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.00Feb 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$20.00Nov 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$20.00Nov 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$4.00Nov 12, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 27, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 27, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.00Oct 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.00Oct 26, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 19, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 19, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 19, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$9.32Oct 5, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.41Oct 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?$36.04Oct 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$4.00Oct 4, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".