0xd8d48c13481ee3b24bcde3e7672052958b21cae9
0xd8d48c13481ee3b24bcde3e7672052958b21cae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-190.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET
2198 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
980 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
418 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
338 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 11?
161 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
136 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
108 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?
107 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
93 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
88 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$65.33Mar 29, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$89.09Mar 17, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?$33.43Mar 16, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$42.61Mar 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$9.80Mar 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$9.80Mar 16, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16.89Mar 16, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$9.80Mar 16, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$9.80Mar 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET$9.80Mar 15, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$9.80Mar 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?$9.80Mar 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$9.80Mar 15, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$9.80Mar 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$9.80Mar 14, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET$14.66Mar 14, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$19.80Mar 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$9.80Mar 14, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET$9.80Mar 14, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?$9.80Mar 14, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $10.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.