Exotic-Balloon
0xd8dba5bbb98731092cf2f9507774674b46cf0ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.61
Total PnL
$-751.53
Realised
$-35.33
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-1.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
22967 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
12160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
9830 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
9031 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 7AM ET
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2717 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.21
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
1829 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$20.51Feb 4, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$31.89Feb 4, 07:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.08Feb 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.29Feb 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Feb 3, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$30.00Feb 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.54Feb 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.76Feb 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$11.00Feb 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$16.14Feb 3, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$71.38Feb 3, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$8.49Feb 3, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$10.00Feb 3, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.41Feb 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Feb 3, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Feb 3, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Feb 3, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$20.00Feb 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$40.00Feb 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$21.86Feb 3, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".