Noisy-Witchhunt
0xd8dbeda29673fc53a0b35c5f8ad432317cad1b67
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-31.98
Realised
$4.42
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
666 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
191 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.10
- YES
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
36 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-0.05
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
12 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$0.02
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
91 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-1.37
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
149 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.07
$-1.71
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.03
$-0.17
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
55 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.19
- YES
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?
2500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.94Jun 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.38Jun 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.15Jun 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.99May 24, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$4.99May 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?$15.65May 12, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Calum Ritchie win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levi Merilainen win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Nikishin win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tage Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Faulk win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seamus Casey win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 11, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.