Lighthearted-Pupil
0xd8ed4b982e3e429b47d8212b606c339f12836926
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
495 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
316 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1.60Mar 2, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$5.00Jan 29, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$10.00Jan 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Jan 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Jan 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$5.00Jan 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$5.00Jan 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.