Second-Ligula
0xd8f4869c80a6a8cfdcf6ef628fe0ab5ea2025184
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 5?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 March 9-15?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 62°F or higher on March 16?
99 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
68 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
8 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- OVER
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.01Apr 29, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-10?$1.59Apr 17, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$3.69Apr 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-10?$1.00Apr 10, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.11Apr 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Apr 7, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Apr 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Apr 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 5?$1.00Apr 5, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?$28.85Mar 23, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$30.24Mar 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMFC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5$1.28Mar 16, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".