Thrifty-Republican
0xd8f536e4a25da866df2ea24eb8e8d0459929bd11
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$447.36
Total PnL
$25.65
Realised
$1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- VIVO KEYD STARS
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$56.82
$31.82
- NO
Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.11
$2.11
- NO
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
42 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$42.00
$2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.59
$1.58
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
26 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.80
$0.80
- WESTERN MICHIGAN
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$23.26
$3.26
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$20.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
21 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$20.51
$0.51
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$20.37
$0.37
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.46
$0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) vs. Western Michigan$10.00Dec 6, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) vs. Western Michigan$10.00Dec 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) vs. Western Michigan$10.00Dec 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) vs. Western Michigan$10.00Dec 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$25.00Nov 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished before 2027?$15.00Nov 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor U.S. bank bailout in 2025?$40.00Nov 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$15.00Nov 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$20.00Nov 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$15.00Nov 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$10.00Nov 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$30.00Nov 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$20.00Nov 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$20.00Nov 19, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBezos divorce in 2025?$10.00Nov 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.00Nov 19, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$10.00Nov 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed abolished in 2025?$24.94Nov 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$5.18Nov 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$10.28Nov 16, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".