0xd8f6eb821b812727824059b378fff9407fe92c1e
0xd8f6eb821b812727824059b378fff9407fe92c1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$235.78
Total PnL
$33.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
106 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$106.02
$16.02
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
51 shares @ 29.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.23
$36.23
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
15 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.70
$3.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.82
$4.82
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.62
$3.62
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.49
$1.49
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 82.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.76
$0.76
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.05May 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.00May 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.00May 7, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$13.13Apr 27, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00Apr 3, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$5.08Mar 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 16, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".