Smug-Lemur
0xd8f8418612a5f7c39ac3518877cff9595150a9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
9005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
7300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?$1.00Dec 3, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 26, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.01Nov 26, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.05Nov 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?$1.00Nov 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.56Nov 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 8, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.50Oct 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.6KOct 12, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.50Oct 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.50Oct 12, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.50Oct 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$4.5KOct 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.50Oct 12, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $971.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".