Smug-Disposal
0xd8fce81a44364f0eeff0077b324466e66379d112
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 21?
1450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?
975 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?
867 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 12?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 December 1-7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?
450 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
58 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$71.07Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$71.00Jun 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 2?$71.07Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 2?$71.00Jun 1, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$71.07May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$71.00May 25, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$71.07May 23, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$1.00May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$1.00May 22, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$71.00May 21, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$71.07May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$71.00May 10, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$71.07May 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$71.00May 8, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on May 5?$71.24May 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on May 5?$71.01May 4, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$70.14May 4, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$70.00Apr 28, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$22.02Apr 28, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?$48.05Apr 28, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $57.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".