Wilted-Macadamia
0xd8fe053477f0dcb3d2caa212baccf18483cc51a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$4.69
Total PnL
$-831.86
Realised
$50.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 7.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.17
$-1.68
- YES
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?
229 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.71
$0.41
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
70 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.80
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
38532 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-197.90
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
520 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$1.12Mar 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$1.39Mar 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$1.74Mar 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$2.16Mar 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$2.69Mar 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$3.35Mar 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$4.17Mar 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$5.19Mar 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$6.47Mar 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$6.16Mar 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$3.65Mar 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$1.81Mar 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner$191.35Feb 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winner$19.98Feb 9, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals$57.00Feb 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winner$8.00Feb 9, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winner$19.98Feb 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winner$8.60Feb 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$9.99Feb 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$4.00Feb 9, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".