Likely-Stimulation
0xd905a2b807d129a335aa6790382871ab1cd1bce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-622.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
875 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-620.04
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Hornets
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMoonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 27, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.01Jan 27, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill APT. (Rosé and Bruno Mars) be nominated for Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.01Jan 27, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.11Jan 27, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.18Jan 27, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.23Jan 27, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$620.04Nov 4, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 7?$1.00Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 6?$1.00Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$1.00Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $160 on October 7?$1.01Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMRays vs. Red Sox$5.00Oct 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Oct 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT. (Rosé and Bruno Mars) be nominated for Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Oct 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$1.00Oct 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 4, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $72.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.