Yearly-Carpet
0xd90740d7d09d362b272906f2f48220c67d36d4f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$160.62
Total PnL
$-19.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
75 shares @ 66.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$53.48
$3.48
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?
86 shares @ 46.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.20
$0.20
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 25.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$23.31
$3.31
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
295 shares @ 6.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.35
$-8.65
- YES
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
102 shares @ 19.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$-14.92
- YES
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June?
228 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-4.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?$5.17Jun 2, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$20.44Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$10.32Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 3-5 times in June?$10.38Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 0-2 times in June?$2.08Jun 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$30.42Jun 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.67Jun 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$10.32Jun 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$20.42Jun 2, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$161.90Jun 2, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 3-5 times in June?$5.19Jun 1, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$0.00May 31, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMAnother confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$0.00May 31, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 3-5 times in June?$5.18May 31, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 0-2 times in June?$3.12May 31, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$13.51May 31, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.00May 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$51.12May 26, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$16.67May 25, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$20.39May 24, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".