Thrifty-Zootsuit
0xd90aaa89a149efc0699476fd091074315f994dba
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-597.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
551 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-184.02
- YES
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?
451 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-264.23
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
193 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- ZALGIRIS KAUNAS
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
116 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-61.19
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?
86 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
67 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?
47 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-18.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
38 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$89.28Jun 30, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$62.47Jun 30, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$106.38Jun 29, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$50.79Jun 29, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$25.54Jun 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$6.99Jun 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5) AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$21.53Jun 25, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5) AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$216.05Jun 24, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$49.02Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$65.94Jun 23, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$8.06Jun 22, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5) AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$81.51Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10.24Jun 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$26.47Jun 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$9.68Jun 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5$9.25Jun 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?$12.31Jun 21, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5$151.66Jun 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: France (-2.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$19.95Jun 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$5.13Jun 21, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $25.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.