Klutzy-Keeper
0xd90b3eafb9bc04d6247957145accee0281e815bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
8419 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-898.52
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
4497 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-269.81
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
2687 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-148.76
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
832 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-399.20
- YES
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?
657 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
184 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$399.20Mar 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$399.20Mar 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$19.81Jan 23, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$80.00Jan 23, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$250.00Jan 23, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$148.76Jun 24, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$31.00Jun 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$179.93Jun 19, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$289.02Jun 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$289.02Jun 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$279.44Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$279.44Jun 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$150.14Jun 17, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$360.00Jun 13, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$155.21Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 13?$205.00Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$78.00Jun 12, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$250.00Jun 11, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Elon talk by Friday?$39.50Jun 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Elon talk by Friday?$13.00Jun 11, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $174.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.