Thunderous-Airbag
0xd91826495c6dcfce078fbdfce3e7ea32796caa30
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$75.32
Total PnL
$-505.53
Realised
$7.63
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?
81 shares @ 39.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$32.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 3?
77 shares @ 24.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$13.86
$-4.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?
33 shares @ 36.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$11.73
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?
7 shares @ 31.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 2, 2026$7.16
$4.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?
4 shares @ 69.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.00
$1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.00
$0.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.00
$0.52
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.57
$-3.22
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.49
$-1.48
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?
37 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.16
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$1.7554m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$0.8554m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$5.8858m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$0.9059m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$0.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 4?$2.462h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?$27.194h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 3?$25.274h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?$5.884h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.046h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.276h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.026h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.046h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.437h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.027h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 3?$0.427h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 3?$5.997h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$25.907h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$25.907h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 54m ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".