Close-Jellybeans
0xd91c233d3f0f1e50e3f7a94e61b16c73be47e067
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-5.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?
825 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$824.32
$0.64
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of July 27 2026?
260 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$259.87
$0.13
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of July 27 2026?
202 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$202.31
$0.24
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 1?
117 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$116.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?
109 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$109.01
$0.05
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of July 27 2026?
85 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$85.02
$0.04
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$83.20
$-6.70
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of July 27 2026?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.27
$0.02
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.92
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 1?$116.47Jul 31, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in July?$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $630 on July 9?$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 58,400 on June 26, 1AM ET?$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 31?$1.25Jul 31, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $295 Week of July 27 2026?$115.00Jul 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?$823.72Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 31?$89.91Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?$89.91Jul 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?$108.96Jul 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026?$31.91Jul 31, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 27 2026?$1.0KJul 31, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?$120.00Jul 31, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of July 27 2026?$84.98Jul 31, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 31?$34.98Jul 31, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 31?$50.00Jul 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of July 27 2026?$120.12Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $256.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.