Outlandish-Homeland
0xd91d498a127998d19f7f73e6b388ed2586818b41
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.54
Total PnL
$-247.69
Realised
$-27.68
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
7 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.54
$-1.00
- MAGIC
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
36 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)
36 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.78
- OVER
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5
28 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.34
- OVER
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5
23 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.77
- AVALANCHE
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
22 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- OVER
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
21 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.55
- UNDER
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5
15 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.29
- CLIPPERS
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)
15 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- OVER
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.