Wallet profile

Lumbering-Alphabet

0xd92c482f3289018a0a70cb8ac309fcad7088dd9a

activity 50/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

89

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-48.5K

Realised

$-1.44

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 89

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$25.6K

Trades

1

Buy share

47%

Window

Jun 14, 06:10 UTC → Jun 16, 04:01 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
pass

41 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

47%

Sample

limited

4 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

$13.0K · 51% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks51% of recorded volume$13.0KLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner27% of recorded volume$6.8KAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score22% of recorded volume$5.7K

Profile dimensions

Activity48 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry75 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
41
Avg trade size
$9.72
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 6, 23:54 UTC
Last active
Jul 11, 08:49 UTC
Win rate sample
1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 19:38:14 UTC·src:Polymarket Data