Substantial-Setting
0xd92f5d6a14d6ea3d009ed1455ad587959c78acac
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$398.00
Total PnL
$-493.77
Realised
$5.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?
156 shares @ 16.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$51.55
$26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?
75 shares @ 34.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$45.15
$19.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?
54 shares @ 10.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$39.36
$33.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?
333 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$31.66
$5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?
152 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$31.06
$6.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?
138 shares @ 14.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$28.29
$8.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$27.05
$2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 6?
107 shares @ 18.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$25.25
$5.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$21.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?
136 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$21.08
$12.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$10.5145m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?$2.111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$4.021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.181h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?$2.142h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$3.222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$6.153h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 45m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".