Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$10.04

Total PnL

$-141.44

Realised

$-4.25

Win rate

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 47

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$5.04
$2.82
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026
$5.00
$3.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
944 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-8.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
944 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-8.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
944 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-8.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
107 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-8.49
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
40 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-4.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
10 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-3.41
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-9.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-9.60

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.93Mar 4, 03:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.90Mar 4, 03:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.11Mar 4, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.85Mar 4, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.50Mar 4, 03:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.06Mar 4, 03:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$2.15Mar 4, 03:41 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.20Mar 4, 03:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.00Mar 4, 03:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.33Mar 4, 03:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.15Mar 4, 03:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.12Mar 4, 03:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.75Mar 4, 03:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.85Mar 4, 03:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.99Mar 4, 03:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.00Mar 4, 03:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.10Mar 4, 03:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.11Mar 4, 03:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.45Mar 4, 03:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.95Mar 4, 03:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry66 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk56 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $1.81
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 4, 02:44 UTC
Last active: Mar 4, 03:54 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:23:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data