Sardonic-Violet
0xd9447080aa509ae9748e6243bfdc3b99e91c74c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
133
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$48.43
Realised
$138.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
644 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
644 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
644 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
235 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-79.41
- YES
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
224 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$234.83Oct 30, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.09Oct 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?$0.64Oct 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?$0.64Oct 13, 05:45 UTC
- CONVERSION"Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)$200.00Oct 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?$0.60Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- CONVERSIONCameroon Presidential Election$10.00Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$9.99Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.75Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$9.99Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$9.01Oct 12, 17:17 UTC
- CONVERSIONFirst leader out of power in 2025?$80.00Oct 12, 17:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONBolivia Presidential Election$200.00Oct 12, 17:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONFirst leader out of power in 2025?$120.00Oct 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$82.00Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$117.69Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$80.00Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$199.60Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?$199.80Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$199.20Oct 12, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $77.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".