Shocking-Sequence
0xd9465300123916b475e6879ed06ccc79e575d862
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$24.91
Total PnL
$-6.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.71
$4.71
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.09
$3.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-4.88
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
13 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?
8 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
6 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$6.96Mar 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$1.00Mar 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10.00Mar 2, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$23.96Mar 2, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?$1.78Jan 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.78Jan 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?$2.55Jan 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$2.55Jan 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.73Jan 11, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$2.74Jan 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$16.05Jan 9, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$16.05Jan 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.04Jan 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.04Jan 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.97Jan 7, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$2.00Jan 7, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 7, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$20.00Jan 7, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.