Calm-Insurance
0xd946f685a418868326d52f27e82339fbde9c7f64
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$50.87
Total PnL
$-569.31
Realised
$380.36
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.35
$-5.65
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.12
$2.12
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.74
$-41.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.38
$-1.62
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
244 shares @ 8.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.74
$-14.26
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-9.56
- YES
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2404 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on November 10?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.51Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.09Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.00Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.07Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.07Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.06Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.11Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$15.34Jun 12, 16:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?$20.73Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.