Willing-Testimony
0xd94827744c3cae41b58edcc9b0ee10c621dd4da5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-269.97
Realised
$111.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
1198 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-171.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
569 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
295 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?
284 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
273 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
226 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
211 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
208 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.84Mar 30, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.85Mar 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$47.43Mar 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?$0.05Mar 2, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?$3.57Feb 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$48.00Feb 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 14, 2026?$0.64Feb 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?$2.19Feb 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?$10.40Feb 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$19.53Feb 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$2.65Feb 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$0.10Feb 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$1.72Feb 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$20.00Feb 4, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 14, 2026?$20.32Feb 1, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 31?$0.13Jan 15, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 31?$9.66Jan 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 31?$15.01Jan 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 31?$0.21Jan 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$2.00Jan 13, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.