Calm-Tanktop
0xd94865f438f3159cede3d3034550951c6697eb9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
237 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
226 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 30?
132 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 24?
108 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on February 1?
87 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 27?
86 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
83 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.71
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 29?
82 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
75 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?$139.98Jun 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?$138.30Jun 2, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$2.55May 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?$2.18May 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 24?$2.43May 24, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$155.43May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$153.72May 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$1.39May 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?$2.02May 10, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?$159.27May 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 27?$32.74Apr 27, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$0.00Apr 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?$0.18Apr 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?$157.34Apr 20, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$104.46Apr 16, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$0.36Apr 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$102.53Apr 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 6?$2.16Apr 6, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.50 March 23-29?$171.48Apr 6, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?$0.00Apr 1, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $48.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.