Stable-Push
0xd94fb181345f71a8e7296ec8ce1f1395a37dee62
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$26.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
1477 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
1011 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-141.47
- YES
Mexico leading at halftime?
870 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-304.54
- AUSTRALIA
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
697 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-299.91
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
673 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-336.51
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?
575 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-34.47
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
566 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-107.50
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Suns
563 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
510 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-187.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$33.42Jul 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$68.05Jul 7, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance leading at halftime?$274.54Jul 4, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$274.68Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$147.63Jul 4, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$147.87Jul 4, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$102.98Jul 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$305.04Jul 3, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$128.25Jun 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$67.65Jun 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$3.45Jun 24, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.29Jun 23, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$26.15Jun 23, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.34Jun 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$39.28Jun 23, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$159.48Jun 23, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$160.43Jun 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$48.60Jun 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$34.23Jun 21, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $101.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.