Esteemed-Ottoman
0xd957ca3ae4b73b042fa0e9e9c8436a0c6c98a584
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$151.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1257 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?
1171 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-198.97
- YES
Will Benfica vs. Fenerbahçe end in a draw?
992 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-168.61
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
909 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
782 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
759 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-201.56
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?
659 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
655 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-155.00
- SENATORS
Senators vs. Sabres
625 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
523 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-230.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$201.56Jan 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$60.00Jan 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$400.00Nov 1, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$100.00Oct 31, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$130.28Oct 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$94.42Oct 30, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue Jays vs. Dodgers$135.85Oct 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$50.00Oct 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Dodgers$50.00Oct 30, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Dodgers$50.00Oct 27, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Canucks$24.60Oct 27, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLOilers vs. Canucks$172.00Oct 27, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Canucks$50.00Oct 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$50.00Oct 27, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?$40.00Oct 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?$8.10Oct 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$50.00Oct 26, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jays vs. Mariners$0.00Oct 25, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$105.00Oct 25, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDodgers vs. Blue Jays$305.64Oct 25, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $91.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.