Wiry-Tarragon
0xd963c8a6e0d57b75f16e4bce7d7c87b77d959f1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-206.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
254 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?
212 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
96 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 0%-1.0%?
88 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-16.60
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 0%-1.0%? $16.60Nov 5, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?$10.00Nov 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 5, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $20.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".