Constant-Picnic
0xd96867b2a46a5caefbdd03ef1edbdffec8284714
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$740.47
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
744 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$739.13
$-1.12
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.34
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1964 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-982.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 22, 7AM ET
752 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-376.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9AM ET
677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-338.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10AM ET
566 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-283.00
- OVER
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- OVER
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- UNDER
Moutet vs. Ruiz: Match O/U 22.5
13 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.84
- OVER
Popyrin vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$1.32Jun 4, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRadivojevic vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5$5.05Jun 3, 08:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWong vs. Tarvet: Match O/U 22.5$3.30Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWong vs. Tarvet: Match O/U 22.5$1.67Jun 2, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMKeys vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5$7.10Jun 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKeys vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5$0.54Jun 1, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKeys vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5$3.23Jun 1, 06:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSvitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5$6.10Jun 1, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSvitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5$3.28May 31, 08:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 31, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$9.70May 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$4.92May 30, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$9.80May 30, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$4.69May 29, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".