Elementary-Gaffer
0xd96aacb0c74f6244bf9ee5dd43c0750d2fd1a952
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$280.79
Total PnL
$95.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
364 shares @ 41.2¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$280.79
$130.79
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
77 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$152.65May 29, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$277.78May 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$20.00May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$100.00May 1, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Apr 2, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$51.31Apr 2, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment coalition formed within 100 days of German election?$10.00Feb 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $75.00Feb 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$25.00Feb 23, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $55.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".