Experienced-Poet
0xd96c7dd3edce13654088e63e98a4a6367ce89db0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-176.50
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
3946 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
1400 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
1250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1212 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
789 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
699 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
597 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
553 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
449 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.62May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.94May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.98May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.26May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions$47.39May 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions$0.20May 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$4.59May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.60May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$6.55May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$4.65May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$11.70May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$6.79May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.75May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.51May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.60May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.04May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.60May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$0.60May 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$4.92May 17, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$0.08May 17, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.