Insistent-Downfall
0xd96d620e5c4cc1432bccf7cd6a9560845a9ba44f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-553.19
Realised
$116.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
10714 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-34.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
2400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
1079 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-194.29
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
667 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
638 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
586 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
559 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
477 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
363 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$199.07May 5, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$204.20Apr 29, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$491.99Apr 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$27.49Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$101.80Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$71.26Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.75Mar 31, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.47Mar 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.46Mar 24, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.91Mar 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 10, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".