Puny-Dignity
0xd96e1d032687b16f3cbe051f44be42856973c4c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-582.00
Realised
$-22.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
703 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
131 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
113 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?
96 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
81 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
53 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$102.85Jul 12, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$175.44Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$161.29Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$101.90Jul 11, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$37.43Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$9.26Jul 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.41Jul 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$102.15Jul 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$20.79Jul 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$64.03Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots on target AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$19.99Jul 11, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$50.55Jul 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.41Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$21.45Jul 11, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$51.42Jul 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway to score first vs. England?$51.23Jul 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$204.30Jul 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$24.99Jul 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. England?$20.61Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$20.00Jul 11, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $82.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.