Victorious-Tug
0xd9703601452fc0350691afc070a1b5850643932a
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$56.57
Win rate
18%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?
2621 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19?
2395 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-28.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 22?
2290 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-38.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?
2272 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29?
2244 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-82.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?
2167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?
1828 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
1600 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-161.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?
1558 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-64.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?$53.00Aug 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$6.49Aug 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$14.00Aug 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$30.00Aug 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?$17.04Jul 31, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?$1.35Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?$0.44Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?$52.91Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 30?$25.00Jul 30, 08:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.30Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$182.61Jul 29, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$51.03Jul 29, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$132.97Jul 29, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$15.79Jul 29, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$41.50Jul 29, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?$2.31Jul 29, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?$0.02Jul 29, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?$0.03Jul 29, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?$0.30Jul 29, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
57 closed markets, 18% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.