Hard-Disregard
0xd9735aa3ec332632dce23e9a0d9e1bd8a4fd2849
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$31.74
Total PnL
$-9.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.60
$0.60
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
12 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
11 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.60
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.09May 27, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.84May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$11.03May 26, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.76May 26, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$21.06May 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.10May 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$21.00Apr 26, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$52.77Apr 26, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?$10.76Apr 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$53.34Apr 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?$10.50Mar 25, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$48.45Mar 25, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$15.38Mar 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$48.56Mar 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.00Feb 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$41.49Feb 23, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?$17.07Feb 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$42.00Feb 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?$14.00Jan 20, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $26.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.