Substantial-Mutation
0xd97378610c4215cde2952e2bf7968b0635d5a9a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$344.44
Total PnL
$-227.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
52 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$52.03
$2.03
- NO
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
52 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$51.81
$1.81
- NO
Will Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
50 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.30
$0.30
- NO
Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.17
$0.17
- NO
Will "Sinners" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
32 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$32.47
$2.47
- NO
Will "Sinners" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?
31 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$30.80
$0.80
- NO
Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.01
$3.01
- NO
Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$22.47
$2.47
- NO
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.16
$0.16
- NO
Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?
11 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$11.21
$1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sex" be said at the Oscars?$5.00Mar 15, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?$5.00Mar 15, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?$10.00Mar 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?$20.00Mar 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?$30.00Mar 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?$30.00Mar 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 15, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send the national guard to Baltimore?$1.06Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?$1.10Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 15-21)$1.15Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?$1.20Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$1.89Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes 3 different countries by September 30?$2.04Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?$3.13Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$3.13Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $30.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".