Busy-Mangrove
0xd9822091233f14c080ecf5b4aa591a23e946cdc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.97
Total PnL
$-20.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
64 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.89
$-8.88
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$12.77Jan 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $1.00Jan 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$10.00Jan 16, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.