Well-Worn-Argument
0xd9842fc18bd978b6206c94134ac7a55239e73693
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$8.61
Total PnL
$-405.41
Realised
$14.78
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
85 shares @ 23.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.53
$-14.47
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$-1.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
1003 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1001 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
139 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1AM ET
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.64Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.09Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.23Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$6.24Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.53Apr 1, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$6.00Apr 1, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.10Apr 1, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.00Apr 1, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.80Mar 31, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$3.35Mar 31, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".