Dense-Committee
0xd98816610f42abea11a18be3b5df50a907086ce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$139.62
Total PnL
$-392.51
Realised
$8.60
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?
98 shares @ 35.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$47.01
$12.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?
55 shares @ 54.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$42.07
$12.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?
55 shares @ 46.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$23.93
$-1.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?
135 shares @ 16.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$18.22
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?
80 shares @ 14.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$8.40
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 25?
102 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?
100 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-54.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?
88 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?
85 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?
80 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$2.26Jul 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$0.13Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$0.54Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$2.30Jul 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$2.36Jul 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$7.58Jul 27, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$2.36Jul 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$0.54Jul 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$0.54Jul 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$5.57Jul 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$7.43Jul 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$1.75Jul 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$1.81Jul 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$17.11Jul 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$4.08Jul 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$1.76Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$2.71Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$0.51Jul 27, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$0.51Jul 27, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.