Right-Buffer-Strobe
0xd995114db523cfe76963c37211a97c73a8a1e6e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$18.54
Total PnL
$-372.20
Realised
$2.97
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 6?
6 shares @ 63.5¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$3.06
$-0.75
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 6?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$2.98
$0.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.90
$-0.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?
4 shares @ 71.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$2.64
$-0.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.82
$-0.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?
4 shares @ 57.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.74
$-0.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.51
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.10
$-0.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 4?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.79
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 27?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?$1.45Jul 1, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$1.31Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?$1.51Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?$1.41Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?$1.21Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 6?$1.39Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 6?$1.97Jul 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 6?$1.43Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?$1.35Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?$1.47Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$1.27Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?$1.15Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 4?$1.07Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?$1.97Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 6?$1.94Jul 1, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on June 29?$5.00Jun 29, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 29?$5.00Jun 29, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of June?$0.50Jun 29, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 29?$0.20Jun 29, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on June 29?$0.43Jun 29, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.