Bronze-Intuition
0xd99b9601985ab3bfaa4152694f2a22a756ec381e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-358.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?
177 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-109.00
- NO
Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
129 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
60 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Stock market" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
34 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.00Jun 22, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$29.41Jan 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock market" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$20.00Jan 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$100.00Jan 1, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$24.10Nov 6, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$26.67Nov 6, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$121.95Nov 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$20.00Nov 3, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$20.00Nov 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$100.00Nov 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$57.84Oct 31, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$20.00Oct 31, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$10.00Oct 26, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$93.03Oct 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$20.00Oct 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?$20.00Oct 22, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$30.00Oct 20, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$12.25Oct 20, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$17.09Oct 20, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $24.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.